Mar 26, 2012
Mar 22, 2012
Dec 19, 2011
Sep 12, 2011
Aug 12, 2011
Jul 10, 2011
I am following it for the last decade and it usually can forecast IT market behavior.
I cannot understand the behavior NOW........ ???????
Apr 24, 2011
Apr 10, 2011
Mar 30, 2011
Mar 29, 2011
Today at STKI’s 18th annual conference, 1,500 IT professionals heard five presentations showing the changes, intricacy and workings of the Israeli IT market. There were surprises and deep insights, which gave the attendees much to think about. STKI is the leading IT analysis company in Israel.
Dr. Jimmy Schwarzkopf presented his vision of the future for the next two years. Dr. Schwarzkopf showed the causes of the first technological implosion: PC Ecosystem; Client/server Ecosystem; LAN/WAN Ecosystem; Internet/Web Ecosystem; X86 Ecosystem and Relational DBMS Ecosystem, and the second technological implosion: Mobility Devices Ecosystem; Cloud Services Ecosystem; Analytic tools/appliances for data boom and Social Commerce Ecosystem.
Dr. Schwarzkopf spoke of the 5th generation of computing, showing how cloud/mobility lead to democratization. Dr. Schwarzkopf maintains that social commerce and core applications, mobility devices and applications, data boom and analytics and hybrid cloud services all come together to form a knowledgeable economy. He called on CIOs to recognize and accept the game changers:
· Support business model innovation
· Consumerized IT and knowledge individuals
· Death of technology and multi-channel strategies
· Birth of business process and multi-touch point strategies
· Curated Computing
· Storage and bandwidth
· New OS for the Internet
· Hybrid, private and public clouds: BPaaS; PaaS; SaaS; IaaS
· Web 2 + 3
· New data base and analytic toolsNew generation of appliances
· Mobile Apps
· New generation CORE applications
· IT and Marketing
The second part of Dr. Schwarzkopf’s presentation dealt with the ranking of 350 Israeli companies according to 200 categories. For the fifty-two vendor companies showing their products at the conference, as well as for all the other vendors present, this was the highlight of the conference and what they had all been waiting for.
The Israeli IT firms serve their clients in three different categories; very few of them are active in all three groups: hardware, software and the biggest of all, the value-added services. (see pictures included).
During the presentation all Vendor CEOs wait for the results of the tiers in the Value Added Services category. This is the category where the local integration and development companies compete.
Software and hardware categories are usually comprised of international vendors that import their hardware and/or software.
Galit Fein, the STKI analyst in charge of Office of the CIO, mobile and sourcing found that the Israeli culture differs from global demand, and therefore Israeli companies should not place too much value on results of international surveys.
Shachar Maor, STKI analyst in charge of security, networking and Green IT, says Cloud Computing is here to stay. Information Security is an EASY showstopper, but CISOs will have to be agile and creative in order to keep up with the trend.
Pini Cohen, the STKI analyst in charge of infrastructure and software development, draws attention to the huge amount of storage needed by Israeli companies according to his survey.
Einat Shimoni is the STKI analyst in charge of software applications.
Nov 11, 2010
Sep 17, 2010
Aug 5, 2010
Jul 24, 2010
This talk is an overview of my son's work as a graduate fellow at the Santa Fe Institute on different aspects of the statics and dynamics of the mutual fund industry. They began with the question of how much control is concentrated in the hands of the largest mutual funds. Then they study the distribution empirically and show that it indicates less concentration than, for example, personal income. Argueing that the dominant economic factor that determines the size distribution is market efficiency and as a result the mutual fund industry can be described using a random entry, exit and growth process.
Introduction to “curation”
Welcome to the new decade. This new decade will be remembered for the complex environments the previous decade left us with and how we dealt with them.
The interconnected and interdependent economic environment, the new competitive arena and the new technologies available have left most of us grasping to find a way to minimize risk in what we do and offer to our organizations and clients.
Even our private worlds have been turned upside down with new emerging cultural practices. The philosopher Prof. Zygmunt Bauman used the term “Liquid Modernity” in order to explain this new complex and rapidly changing state of affairs. As a technologist I recognize that information technology and the digitalization of knowledge have been at the center of this revolution.
In order to survive we will have to do several things in order to reduce complexity or better still, cope with it. Complexity usually can be handled by innovation, simplification, management techniques and standardization.
While flying to visit my new born grandson last month several important things happened to me besides the fact of becoming a grandfather.
Coming to a new city I looked for museums to visit and the nice passenger beside me explained all about how a museum visit is basically a “simplified” (in IT terms: vanilla) tour organized by the “curator”. This curator looks at all the artifacts the museum owns and can get from outside sources in order to organize the perfect (in his view) experience for the visitors he thinks will come and enjoy it. He defines the visitor, the experience and then organizes the show.
The second was when I read an opinion piece by Forrester analyst Sarah Rotman Epps where she talks about how the -“iPad ushers in a new era of personal computing that we call "Curated Computing"—a mode of computing where choice is constrained to deliver less complex, more relevant experiences. Let me repeat that, because it's the essence of the Curated Computing experience: less choice; more relevance”- . Given that I had just learned about curators this really hit home.
The third was that I had to prepare a presentation about IT innovation to be presented when I returned. While trying to connect cloud, SaaS, PaaS, multichannel marketing, mobile technologies, new hardware industry in a box products, new ERP/vertical software packages and other new innovations I realized what is happening and I will use the following term for it. Curated Computing.
What I am trying to say is that all the above terms represent very complex technologies that the vendors have simplified in order to make our and our company’s life easier. Every vendor has simplified in a different way, each one has a different way to do it and we (the users) have to choose the one that comes closer to the experience we want.
In other words we choose the CURATOR that fits our way of managing complexity.
How can “curation” fit into IT history
If we look at the above graph we can see “curated “ computing as the fifth generation of computing.
The first generation was very autocratic and we could say dictatorial. The data center was the king, programmers served the center and optimized their applications so that the “king computer” could process their command optimally. This was done without concern for the users, as they were secondary.
Then the PCs came, woow what a difference. Users could finally do their own thing without asking the Data Center for permission. They could even have the same software in both the office and at home. CIOs fought unsuccessfully against the use of PCs in the firm. At the end it democratized the end user experience.
The third generation opened up the world of information to everybody. We didn’t need the company’s librarian or information specialist who used to get us the needed information. We were free. Again CIOs fought unsuccessfully against free use of internet in most places. They said we all were porno junkies and that a securitywould be breached. Most companies found a way to democratize information to most employees. At home we were all free.
Next came SOA. The real term means “service oriented architectures” although some CIOs will call it “same old applications”. What did SOA bring? It allowed applications in the company and of outside partners to share data. This revolution came at the same time that users understood that IT basically had to provide automation for business processes and analytics. With SOA data collected in one part of the company was available to others without much IT investment. SOA democratized data bringing finally the dream of one version of the truth throughout the company.
Now we are entering the “curated” computing era. I am sure that many CIOs will fight this but they will lose again. We will choose vendors by looking at how they curated a certain IT problem our IT users want solved. Because this process allows vendors to sell their solution as is to many clients , the price is reduced; some of them will charge “on demand” and so smaller companies or departments with few users of a certain application will be able to afford the product. In other words, application democratization.
Curated computing everywhere
CURATED computing is here and we will all use it at home, in the office and wherever we are.
Cloud Computing, SaaS, PaaS and other forms will allow us to use “curated” IT products on demand. This means by user/month. Mostly we won’t be able or want to make changes and will use it as the vendor/curator designed it.
ERP/vertical software packages: most companies will look and decide according to the vendor/curator road map and strategy. Minimum amount of changes will be done in order to be able to move easily into the future that the vendor/curator mapped for us.
Hardware/industry in a box appliances: several vendors like NCR (Teradata), Oracle (Exadata), Cisco (Vblock), HP (Matrix) and IBM (CloudBurst) among others offer an appliance that the vendor/curator optimized for certain uses. Goodbye to buying multipurpose hardware and then integrating it at great cost for database servers, application servers or other uses.
In the mobile world we are all asked to make sort of a decision that has many consequenses. We have to decide the curator of our phone/tablet world. We are deciding between Apple and Google or maybe between Apple and Microsoft or even between Blackberry and Nokia. Our decision will influence our banks, insurance companies, medical and other service providers. They all have to provide us service no matter who our vendor/curator is. They will have to support us on our terms, exactly as our vendor/curator dictated. No extra complexity for us, the user, although for IT complexity might increase.
Welcome to the new simplified and curated world.